US Midterm Elections 2026: Latest Polls as Trump and Obama Rally

WASHINGTON, DC — October 28, 2026: With six days remaining before the November 3 US midterm elections, national polling shows Democratic candidates leading Republicans in the contest for Congress. President Donald Trump is campaigning for Republican candidates, while former President Barack Obama is appearing at events supporting Democrats. Several closely contested Senate races could play an important role in determining control of Congress.

What Do the Latest National Polls Show?

A Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted from October 22 to 26 found that 47% of registered voters supported Democratic candidates for Congress, compared with 36% who supported Republicans. Among likely voters, the survey showed a 53% to 44% Democratic advantage. These figures measure national preferences and do not determine the result of individual congressional races.

A separate NPR/PBS News/Marist poll, conducted October 19 and 20 among likely voters, found Democrats leading Republicans by 52% to 44% on the generic congressional ballot. This question asks voters which party’s candidate they would prefer in their own congressional district.

Although these surveys show a national Democratic advantage, polling is not an election result. Individual contests can differ significantly depending on local issues, candidates, turnout and the composition of the electorate.

Trump Steps Up Campaigning for Republicans

President Donald Trump has increased his campaign appearances in the final days before the election. On October 27, he held rallies in Texas supporting Republican candidates. He was scheduled to travel to Ohio on October 28 as Republicans seek to defend their congressional majorities.

Economic concerns are a major issue in the campaign. The cost of living, fuel prices and inflation have featured prominently in political debate. The Reuters/Ipsos survey found that 73% of US adults believed the cost of living was moving in the wrong direction.

Trump’s campaign appearances are intended to mobilize Republican supporters and help candidates in competitive races. However, national polling indicates that voters’ views of the economy and the president’s performance remain important factors in the political environment.

Obama Campaigns for Democrats

Former President Barack Obama has also returned to the campaign trail to support Democratic candidates. He was scheduled to campaign in Atlanta, Georgia, on October 28 alongside Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff and gubernatorial candidate Keisha Lance Bottoms.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris is also participating in Democratic campaigning in Georgia. The state is among the places where both parties are working to mobilize supporters ahead of Election Day.

Campaign events featuring prominent political figures can attract attention and encourage voter participation, but their effect on individual races cannot be established from rally appearances alone.

Why the Senate Races Matter

Control of the Senate is particularly important because Republicans currently hold a majority and Democrats need a net gain of at least four seats to take control. Several contests are being closely watched, including races in Texas, Ohio, Kansas and other competitive states.

In Texas, Democrat James Talarico and Republican Ken Paxton are competing in a closely watched Senate race. In Ohio, Republican Senator Jon Husted faces former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown. Both contests have attracted national attention and campaign visits from prominent political figures.

Polling in individual states can change as Election Day approaches, and surveys have margins of error. A small lead in a poll should not automatically be interpreted as a certain victory.

What Is at Stake on November 3?

Americans will vote for members of the House of Representatives and a portion of the Senate. The results will determine which party controls Congress during the second half of Trump’s presidency.

Congress plays a central role in passing legislation, approving federal spending and conducting oversight of the executive branch. The balance of power can influence debates over taxes, immigration, healthcare, energy and foreign policy.

The latest national surveys show Democrats ahead on the generic congressional ballot, while several Senate contests remain competitive. The final outcome will depend on votes cast across individual districts and states, rather than national polling alone.

Sources

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Editorial note: Polls are snapshots of voter opinion, not final results. Figures should be read alongside their survey dates, sample populations and margins of error.